Earlier this year, when Pfizer made a play for rival pharma giant AstraZeneca, CEO Ian Read listed the British drugmaker's vaccines portfolio as a motivating factor. Now, rumors are swirling that the company could be eyeing Actavis as a backup plan. On the one hand, the New Jersey generics maker lacks vaccines offerings. And on the other, with the recent developments affecting Pfizer's unit, how much does that matter?
Pfizer's Prevnar 13 currently dominates the list of the world's best-selling vaccines--and that won't be changing anytime soon, according to a new report from EvaluatePharma. In fact, it's expected to widen its lead, with sales growing more than 61% over the next 5+ years; by 2020, it will be generating nearly $4 billion more than runner up Pentacel from Sanofi, EP predicts.
As far as the rest of the list, however, EP anticipates a bit of shuffling. Merck's Gardasil, last year's No. 2 seller, will slide into third place to make room for Pentacel. And GlaxoSmithKline's Pediarix will inch up into fifth, knocking Merck's varicella jab Varivax out of the top 5.
Take a look at the specifics and check out how the 2020 forecasts stack up to the top 10 best-selling vaccines of 2013.
The vaccine market has long been dominated by the Big 3--Sanofi, Merck and GlaxoSmithKline--with Pfizer and Novartis trailing the trio on the list of revenue-generators. But things are changing at the top. The "go big or go home" mentality has sent Novartis packing, with the Swiss company selling GSK most of its vaccines unit earlier this year as it made moves to exit the space. Pfizer, on the other hand, is scouting for ways to bulk up, earlier this month listing AstraZeneca's vaccine assets among the benefits of a potential merger.
For now, though, behind Pfizer's market-leading Prevnar 13, it's jabs from the leading triumvirate that bring in the bulk of vaccine sales. Merck, in particular, took four of the 10 top-selling spots, with Glaxo and Sanofi nabbing two apiece.
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